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Case Study · Underwriting

Modeling a $33M Sell-vs-Refi Decision for a 300-Unit Owner

Five paths. One 10-tab model. A memo the owner could act on.

The Situation

The brief.

A private owner of a 300+ unit Class B multifamily asset in Texas faced a structural decision: hold, refinance, or sell. Five distinct paths were on the table — hold as-is, hold with a HUD-insured refinance, two different 721 exchange options into REIT platforms, and an outright sale with 1031 alternatives.

The owner needed institutional-grade analysis of all five — not a broker's pitch for the one that pays a commission.

The Work

What we shipped.

  • Built a 10-tab sell-vs-refinance model: exit timing, scenario analysis, HUD refi sizing, full amortization schedules.
  • Underwrote all five alternatives against a $33M+ broker opinion of value and trailing-twelve NOI.
  • Ran a head-to-head comparison of the two competing 721 exchange platforms, fee load against fee load.
  • Delivered a portfolio strategy memorandum plus a market update memo written for the owner's family, not for an institution.

The Outcome

The result.

The analysis identified near-term disposition as the compelling path — and gave the owner a decision document to act on. The model stays with the owner for every future re-evaluation of the asset.

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